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| | #1381 (permalink) | |
| Igneous Magma | Quote:
"And the crows were all calling to him, thought Caw." –Jack Handy– | |
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| | #1382 (permalink) | ||
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| Parrot.. Quote:
For your information the other part of the question has been stated many times..Since CO2 which had been named as the primary reason that temperatures rose over the last part of the 1900's,has been increasing why would we have a cooling trend? Could it just be that another factor is the cause. Don't give us the old variation argument that avoids the the question? Pooey ducks that reality over and over agin saying its already been explained? If it has, you give me the answer? He cant? Pooey posts.. Quote:
You take the 20 year average of a warming period and then compareTHAT AVERAGE to all the ensuing years? Thats statistical chicanery! From 2000 to 2008 temperaturess have been cooler Lets take the average of that span and compare it to the average of the last decade of the 90s. Is it cooler? If so then there is a coolling trend Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | ||
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| | #1383 (permalink) | |||||
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
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But here's a graph ![]() Source You can't draw a trend line till you've got at least a decade of data, the variability (aka weather) is just too great most of the time. You'll note that 1998 has an anomalous spike which can be attributed to very strong El Nino activity. My guess is, you're going to skim over what's been said and ask the same question in the next post. Because that's all you can do; you lack any form of scientific credibility. War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | |||||
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| | #1384 (permalink) | |
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| Durn right I am..Pooey Quote:
I can simplify the issue which you obviously don't understand by asking why this downward temperature change? The natural climate variability question shows up in your graph. We know there is variability caused by various natural factors and has been since way before humans started lighting fires. Which leads one to ask is anthropogenic CO2 the main cause of warming. Which leads an inquiring person to pay attention to the reality of accurate measurement data that is coming it lately. We have given you 'beleivers' samples of ocean, land surface and satellite measurements which show that there is a cooling trend. You can't muddy that up with such nonsense as the use of averages of the hottest 20 years of the last century as a leverage point to measure subsequent trends> It's measurably cooler this early decade of the 21st century? Whats causing it? What caused the cooler period on most of your chart even when CO2 increased due to industrial expansion?? Answer the question, please? Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | |
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| | #1385 (permalink) | ||
| Igneous Magma | Quote:
And I don't ignore the sun's direct influence on the amount of heat that reaches Earth, since the sun is responsible for essentially all of the energy reaching Earth! Quote:
): "If the planet is currently cooling (a notion which I challenge), it's because some other forcing mechanism has (most likely temporarily) overwhelmed the warming signal from the CO2." This explanation does not contradict the theory that CO2 is responsible for the bulk of 20th century warming. "And the crows were all calling to him, thought Caw." –Jack Handy– | ||
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| | #1386 (permalink) | ||||||||
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
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News snippet about La Nina causing major drop in sea surface temperature. As you can see, a two degree Celsius drop is huge compared to the warming we've seen in the last century! Quote:
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War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | ||||||||
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| | #1387 (permalink) | |||
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| Here are some sites that verify the cooling trend by actual measurement as opposed to predictive models.. Is the climate cooling? « ClimatePolice Sweet vindication – It really is climate cooling! From the reference... Quote:
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Now answer the question Pooey? Why is it cooling when CO2 is measureably increasing? Could it be that natural causes(as NASA thinks) have a much more important influence of climate change? Can we predict the extent of thei suns influence?. The so called references you post predict that when nina wanes its going to get even hotter? Where do they get that prediction except from an underlying assumption that CO2 is the main cause? You post this.. Quote:
Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | |||
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| | #1388 (permalink) | ||||||||
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
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Are you seriously telling me that you can extrapolate a long term trend out of this?? Quote: Quote:
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Btw, I love your sources, always amusing to pick through them. You really ought to check them out before you post them up. War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | ||||||||
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| | #1389 (permalink) | |
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| Quote:
By the way are La Nina/El Nino affects caused by CO2 or are they natural influences that change climate temps inspite of the influence of human CO2 ? Is the suns influence overwhelmed by human generated CO2 or is it the other way around? Your weakening but determined effort to rationalize anthropogenic warming is being overtaken by reality? Its almost pathetic the way Gore, Prince Charles and others doggedly stick to the IPCC predictions made some 7 years ago from data that was much older than that. And which are not being confirmed by the latest data and new studies? But it gives us something to do and stimulates our interests Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | |
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| | #1390 (permalink) | |
| Igneous Magma | Quote:
![]() Seriously though, I don't trust your link. Both GISS and HadCRUT show a positive trend for the past decade. And since your site doesn't show the results of their regression, or even which data set they used, I'm inclined to be highly skeptical of them. "And the crows were all calling to him, thought Caw." –Jack Handy– | |
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| | #1391 (permalink) | ||||||
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
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So you are lying again. The report reviewed all the latest research since 2001 and up to their first draft for 2007. But you knew this however, you still saw it necessary to make a misleading remark with outright lies. War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | ||||||
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| | #1392 (permalink) | |
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| Several interesting holes are begining to show up in your passionate defense of anthropengic influences on climate? Pooey, your like the Energizer Bunny on battery commercials, you neve run down? Quote:
By the way the 2007 IPCC report IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is based on pre 2000 temperature data is it not? Thus the cooling trend we have been discussing is not included in the predictive modelsl they are so proud of, is it? The most recent data is ignored? Or should I say missing and we are regurgitating the same old conclusions influenced by the late century warmning period.? Total less than 1 degree C in a century. Underlying the screaming hysterical data about a high percentage rise in anthropogenic CO2 ..I think I recall one figure of 80% over a given period.. is the fact that the total atmospheric CO2 content is less that 1% of atmospheric gas! And humans contributions some small fraction of that? Obviously its dangerous to us all... ....because even so the temperaure has cooled over the past 7 or so years? 80% is impressive but misleading.The logic of some of those, and these interpretations, bothers me? If I trade some carbon credits, quit driving and flying and burning coal will my effort help changer the climate? Make it cooler? Will the zealots at the UN be able to pull all of us together in an effective effort to reduce anthropogenic created gases, and bovine flatulence enough to impact climate? By the way parrot I still ?love? you just like the rest of those bowlegged cowboys down in Texas. Interestingly unsophisticated believers in, and tellers of, tall tales. Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | |
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| | #1393 (permalink) | ||||||||
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
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Yet you pulled that figure out of your arse, as usual. Quote:
This post again, demonstrates how you are ignoring what's been said to time and time again. You continue to ask the same answered questions and press the same refuted points, which means you are trolling. War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | ||||||||
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| | #1394 (permalink) | ||||
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| Pooey..This is some of the illogical nonsense one has to contend with in your overly detailed and trivially detailed responses? Quote:
You are living in a cloud of make believe. Quote:
Here is another invented figmernt of your stunted mentality? Quote:
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Answer my question with specific evidence? Not an outdated IPCC report. Quit ducking truth. Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | ||||
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| | #1395 (permalink) | ||||||||||||
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
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I think you'll find it is you who've been living in a fantasy land with your eyes and ears covered. Quote:
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For example, just a few posts prior, you posted this. Of course, once we looked at the source of that article, we find it's from a website with no association to NASA and nor do their supposed scientific paper appear in any official journals. You said, and I quote; Quote:
Of course, you've skipped over this, just like how you skipped over many of points that I've questioned over the past 18 months. War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | ||||||||||||
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| | #1396 (permalink) |
| Hot Lava
Posts: 2,368
| Global Warming has become a political debate and not so much a scientific one. But if there is Global Warming; even if it's man made; the destruction of the American economy, and/or capitalism will not effect it one way or the other. In my view most who support man made global warming also support the demise of the US as we know it today. For that reason alone I'm not a supporter of the theory. |
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| | #1397 (permalink) | |
| Hot Lava
Posts: 2,368
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The fact is the temperature of the Globe, no matter what we do will stay in a state of flux. It's equally factual that the state of that fluxuation has nothing to do with me driving my car, or heating my house, or snubbing out my cigarette. | |
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| | #1398 (permalink) |
| Hot Lava Location: Southwest desert - Valley of the Sun
Posts: 1,346
| El Nino.. check it out: Climate Prediction Center - ENSO FAQ and: National Weather Service - NWS Flagstaff "Jet streams off track, may affect weather patterns" From: "Science" & climate scientist Qiang Fu: "Seattle researchers have discovered that warming of the Earth's atmosphere seems to be shoving jet streams out of their normal tracks — a change that could expand deserts and profoundly affect the world's weather patterns. Over the past 27 years, the high-speed air currents that steer storms to temperate zones in both hemispheres have shifted about one degree toward the poles, or about 70 miles, scientists estimate in a paper published today in the journal Science. "This gives direct, observational evidence of massive atmospheric circulation changes," said University of Washington climate scientist Qiang Fu, (the paper's lead author.) Look at what el nino did for Baghdad this past January, lol: For the first time in living memory: Of All Things in Baghdad, Snow - The Lede - Breaking News - New York Times Blog Here in Phoenix we have a similar climate.. as Phoenix is among the hottest cities in the world.. a desert (it's a.. ha-ha, "dry heat") that gets to the 120F + range at times.. (50C or so) and 110F is not a big deal. I have never seen any snow here, at Tucson it is rare, Yuma also gets none.. Yuma may pass a year without rain.. we get only a few inches.. I use an oven thermometer for getting the backyard temp, because shade is a precious commodity around here.. and much of the time your body will be exposed to "sun temp" heat loads.. and that is about 155F to 170F You cannot pick up exposed metal items.. or fall off bike in the street.. without chance of 2nd (even 3rd) degree burns..However.. this last week.. it was like the old saying: "it will be a cold day in hell" - it happened to us. We had several 100F + days, it was 111F on Monday & Tuesday.. but by Thursday a huge trough in the jet stream came plunging down (never happened before this far into "summer" ) - and we had a couple of "chilly" days.. only in 70's..!!!! Let me tell you, that is freak weather..!! I never saw before, or even old people around Phoenix.. The el nino has deflected the jet stream off it's normal pattern(s) - the entire earth is feeling this warming. It is causing anomalies that may cause some to (mistakenly) believe we are cooling, not warming. But, we surely are warming. And drier, even in the deserts.. drier than average. We have more nights that never drop below 90F.. even at mid-night it may be over 100F here.. . |
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| | #1399 (permalink) | |
| Volcanic Erupter Location: England
Posts: 5,610
| Quote:
Once again, I'll use this analogy; you're trying to say that just because cancer occurs naturally in humans (ever since the dawn of time, so to speak), that we can't do anything to increase their occurrence. Obviously, this is flawed thinking... War is Peace Freedom is Slavery Ignorance is strength Harness the power of Ingsoc, then you can capture someone killed the year before | |
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| | #1400 (permalink) | |
| Liberated thinker Location: New Mexican Alps
Posts: 2,465
| I invite you, particularly Pooey the believer, to visit this site.Ocean Surface Topography from Space-Science This contains actual data plus a scientifally based prediction that the PDO has large control over global temps(translated to global climate) It just so happens there is a measured cooling trend and science is looking into the PDO and ocean currents as the cause of climate variation. They now predict a cooling phase in spite of CO2 influence? It turns out Pooey, who still dwells on pre 2000 predictions based on correlations with CO2 and climate change may have hooked his evidence on the wrong outmoded theory?. He has forgotten the scientific axiom, "correlation is not necessarily causation"? An example? He is still fussing over a near record decade of global warming and its so called evidence of human driven global warming. Quote:
Thus we play the fools with the time, and the spirits of the wise sit in the clouds and mock us. | |
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