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i think there would be significant consequences if we were to withdraw now... iraq would most certainly become a failed state. there are multiple ways it could happen - terrorists, al-sadr, civil war... failed states and lands in conflict are breeding grounds for terrorists. of course, some see this as the inevitable outcome. personally, i tend to agree with that viewpoint (although i'd rather not). the other part of me acknowledges that this mess is our country's fault, and domestically it's solely the bush administration's fault. to just up and run would represent irresponsibility on a massive scale.
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The argument is hopelessly secular. If we leave it is irresponsible. As the infidel occupiers in a highly nationalist country, we are the target and the longer we stay the worse it will get. The worse it gets the more irresponsible it would be for us to leave. And the longer we stay the worse it gets. More Americans and Iraqis die.
If Bush had announced the US withdrawal to be taken over by UN peakeepers a year ago, we would be far ahead of where we are now.
Bottom line, the longer we stay the worse it gets, until we are forced out. We have already lost control of ever larger sections of the country. If we stay and "get the job done" we may find ourselves leaving by helicopters from the roof of the embassy in the Green Zone.