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Quote by: GHook93  Bush is a perfect reason not the vote for Democrats, his rise in taxes, increase in spending, waging preemptive war and generally increasing the size of the government are token traits of the Democratic Socialist Party. George Bush = Democrat!
I think McCain has a great chance, especially if he picks Condi Rice as his VP. Reasons:
(1) Who are the conservative crapping, they are voting for the Republican party. Obama and Clinton represent an increase in socialism and they could potentially pick 3 supreme court justices meaning Homosexual marriage (which I am for) could be Federally protected reality. Same with abortion. Way too much at stake to toss there vote away on the Democrats out of spite or for a 3rd party.
(2) McCain will win the Latino vote meaning he has a great chance at taking CA. He is well respected in within the Latino community and they liked the fact that he proposed the so-called "amnesty bill."
(3) He will get the Jewish vote. Although the Jews are number in 6-8 million nationwide, they represent a large portion of a few Democratic important States. Specially NY, NJ and FL. Jews will probably vote for Clinton, but they might be skeptical of Obama.
(4) McCain will get a large chunk of the independent vote. Face the independent vote won him the nomination
(5) He will get some of the Democratic vote. Many democrats that are more to the middle like him.
(6) If he choose Condi Rice, which I think he will, then he will get some black vote, which would otherwise nearly 100% vote Democratic (especially if/when its Obama).
The war will hurt him no doubt. The war is definitely a plus (I hating stating it that way) for the Democrats. But a lot can happen come November. |
I do not know who made up those stats for you but I do not agree.
1. I know for sure Clinton would not and I doubt if Obama is going to appoint a judge to the Supreme Court just so that gay people can get married. That is so silly. However I think they might try to appoint one that views the consitution as advocating equality for everyone. But more importantly, a judge who is fully qualified for the job. You should not confuse social justice with socialism. All the "socialism crap" is just a flash back to the 1950s era when Reagan attacked Hollywood for being part of some sort of socialistic conspiracy, that is an old-hat theory and we have moved on from that out-of-date mentality in Amreica, today is today not yesterday.
2. You are wrong because I live here in So California and the Mexican-American community is going to remain a democratic stronghold, the Major of L.A is a Democrat and he is of Mexican decent. The other Spanish people we sent to washington are also Democratic. Over-all the spanish community do not think that Blacks are much interested in their struggles for equality and respect (the two communities are having an on-going gang war right now) but they support Hillary Clinton in a strong way. If Obama wins then some degree of discrimination can play a role in favor of McCain.
3. McCain could get some Jewish votes if those people are Republican, especially with his "independant" side kick - Joe. But Hillary is winning that sector and just did so in Penn primary, among Jewish voters who are Democratic - most of them are hard core Democrats. Hillary still has their favor in her current miss-trust of Iran.
4. Wrong. Most of the Independant voters wanted Ron Paul and not McCain. McCain won only because Republicans had no other choice because they needed someone who could appear to be a little different the President Bush. So the can pretend to offer a change.
5. The middle democrats will vote for a moderate progressive like Hillary Clinton, not some radical right winger who wants to keep us in some military mode of conducting international policy making.
6. Good, picking Rice would reinforce the fact the McCain will carry on the same-o kind of Bushism which has nearly distroyed America in so many ways. She is not another Martin King Jr like Obama is, so that would not sway African Americans to vote for McCain or his token lady.
McCain is just another rusty old boat that is about to sink into the seas of historical babble.