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Quote by: Pooeypants I see Mr Xyzer is back asking the same questions AGAIN. See, just like the recent Ice ages, Mr Xyzer also comes in cycles, except he is far, far more predictable. |
It's like I said... he's like a 4 year old who knows that if he answers every answer with "Why?", he'll eventually drive you crazy enough to give up, at which point he claims victory.
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Quote by: Foxfyre Well, well, speaking of 'leveling off' of warming trends, it seems that even the esteemed IPPC... |
Well I for one am not the least bit surprised. In fact I've been predicting a cooling off trend for years, based on the same charts I keep showing. Here's proof.
Sonart response to Xyzer, Aug. 26, 2006 --
"Well tell you what, I'll make a prediction too. I predict that -- if there are no significant reductions in human production of greenhouse gases -- within the next five years or so, the current warming trend will begin to slow, and will either level off or, more likely, simply reduce it's rate of increase, for the next 35 to 40 years... until, as this Russian predicts, around 2050, at which point temperatures will skyrocket back up again. And I mean skyrocket."
And kindly do me the courtesy of actually reading this and comparing the charts.
Here we can see cooling trends from 1880 to 1910, about 30 years, a dramatic rise for about 30 years (1910 to 1940) another cooling - more like a leveling off - from 1940 to 1975 (35 years) and another dramatic rise from 1975 to now, about 30 years.
Even within the latest dramatic rise has been regular fluctuations... up dramatically from 1975 to 1980, leveling down from 1980 to 1985, up dramatically from 1985 to 1990, leveling down from 1990 to 1995, up dramatically from 1995 to 2000, leveling down from 2000 to 2005.
and once again the larger trends, with the big jump after the industrial revolution.
Based on the chart above and it's clear record of fluctuations, a slight decrease or leveling off of temperature increase is clearly due right about now. That won't stop the next big climb, however, unless we do something serious.
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