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GHook93 · Mar 3, 2008, 01:26 pm

Does a victory on March 4th make Clinton the favorite?
RealClearPolitics - 2008 Elections - Democratic Delegate Count

All the states are pretty much up for grabs except VT (which Obama has a 24 point lead); however, VT is by far the smallest delegate state and has the most independents so the polls could be way off, just like NH.

TX is a tie, but I am predicting a Clinton win. I think the Latino will vote for her and I think the Republicans will vote for her to keep Obama out of the generals.
OH Clinton has 8 pt lead. I also predict a win for her here.
RI - Clinton has a 10 pt lead. They usually vote like NY and NJ, so expect a Clinton win.
VT - Obama has a 24 pt lead. The poll can be off, but they are unlikely off that much.

Note on the Republican side, McCain should official wrap it up. He has 1019 delegate (102 not "officially" pledged yet though), the polls show he has at least a 20 pt lead in all 4 states, im which 265 delegates are for grabs and McCain only needs 172 more delegates!

Mar 3, 2008, 01:26 pm	#1 (permalink) (top)
GHook93 Aristotle Location: Chicago, IL Posts: 4,568	March 4 primary! Does a victory on March 4th make Clinton the favorite? RealClearPolitics - 2008 Elections - Democratic Delegate Count All the states are pretty much up for grabs except VT (which Obama has a 24 point lead); however, VT is by far the smallest delegate state and has the most independents so the polls could be way off, just like NH. TX is a tie, but I am predicting a Clinton win. I think the Latino will vote for her and I think the Republicans will vote for her to keep Obama out of the generals. OH Clinton has 8 pt lead. I also predict a win for her here. RI - Clinton has a 10 pt lead. They usually vote like NY and NJ, so expect a Clinton win. VT - Obama has a 24 pt lead. The poll can be off, but they are unlikely off that much. Note on the Republican side, McCain should official wrap it up. He has 1019 delegate (102 not "officially" pledged yet though), the polls show he has at least a 20 pt lead in all 4 states, im which 265 delegates are for grabs and McCain only needs 172 more delegates!