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Old Jan 25, 2008, 02:46 am   #14 (permalink) (top)
rmnunez
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Location: Mexico City
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Romney and Huckabee are too religious, I like Edwards but his issue is the poor and these aren't a majority.

Though even Ron Paul has done better than Giulianni, the New Yorker has a different strategy which intentionally foresook New Hampshire and Iowa investing heavily in Florida. If his strategy pays off we ought to see Giulianni beat McCain big time in this state to confirm his viability and cunning strategy. The other Republicans are all averaging better than Giulianni, but distant 2nds to McCain, if Giulianni trounces McCain, he's beating the others too.

By 'Supertuesday' there will be just 4 real contenders (two for each party), my guess is McCain, Giulianni, Obama and Hillary.

The only uncertainty is Giulianni. He must beat McCain by a substantial margin in Florida. If he beats McCain just by a close margin, Huckabee and Ron Paul will remain in play. If he comes in second closely behid McCain, Romney may still be in the game. Unless Giulianni comes up with just 12-14% in Florida, the other Republicans (except McCain) will become too marginal.


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