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Quote:
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Quote by: rmnunez Fifty years ago there could be a hurricane or typhoon, but unless it hit an important place where there were lots of people we wouldn't know. |
Science is aware of this difficiency in the record, RM...
--"Counting tropical storms that occurred before the advent of aircraft and satellites relies on ships logs and hurricane landfalls, making many believe that the numbers of historic tropical storms in the Atlantic are seriously undercounted."--
but there are ways to figure it out.
--"However, a statistical model based on the climate factors that influence Atlantic tropical storm activity shows that the estimates currently used are only slightly below modeled numbers and indicate that the numbers of tropical storms in the recent past are increasing, according to researchers."--
Here's one method, as
reported by a global-warming SKEPTIC. Note that he concludes...
"There are many lessons from this incredible reconstruction. First, it is obvious that large hurricanes have impacted southern Georgia throughout the past 220 years, and some of the storms were larger than any storm in recent years. But more importantly, the record shows that some periods are active, others are quiet, and that this has been the case for a long time into the past (i.e. prior to any large-scale anthropogenic climate influences). This means that there is now more reason to believe that variations during the 20th century in the frequency and intensity of Atlantic tropical cyclones are very likely to have a significant natural component to them."
Yet staring right at him is a clear, overall rise in hurricane activity since the '70s,
