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Quote by: Zeebadee  Heh, this was great. Almost as tough as predicting that there will be a full moon next month.
There are on average 120 earthquakes a year in the 6-6.9 range, 18 in the 7-7.9 range, and 1 in the range above that. This equates to 139 "major" earthquakes a year worldwide, for an average of more than 1 significant earthquake every 3 days. Pretty brave of you to establish a window for your prediction of two in 30 days. Earthquake Facts & Figures |
Only a 1 chance of a 8.0 quake happen during a year, as in Peru. Add to that the chance that it would likewise become a big news story because it happen in a populated area and lots of people died. No one can predict that using normal stats, and narrow the window for it happening to the time limits of the next month, but I did based on my formula without knowledge of what the 'averages' are.
I was not trying to predict earthquakes that happen most of the time at least somewhere on earth. I was predicting the kind that would be abnormal enough to be concidered by most to be unpredictable.
The data from "out of the blue" did not give details but only the fact that something odd would happen earthquake wise within 30 days, not once but twice.
See above post #22. The evidence supports that my experiment had positive results favoring my theory.