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Old Jun 8, 2007, 02:34 am   #12 (permalink) (top)
Century 25
Igneous Magma
 
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Location: Southwest desert - Valley of the Sun
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Quote:
Quote by: Mr.Vicchio View Post
I worked for the US NAVY :)

AG2(AW) Mr. Vicchio

And for the record, you're RIGHT! Never trust a forecast that's more then three days out. They just aren't accurate, far too many variables. Which leads me to wonder why people trust 100 YEAR prognostications?


Boggles the mind that. A ten day forecast is often dead wrong, but we're gonna listen to people telling us what it will be like in 100 years...
Using the Cray XT3/4 Supercomputers.. 10 day forecasts are getting more & more accurate.. 3-5 day 'casts are really very good.. almost spot-on.. Of course.. pinpointing tornado or other localized storm cells is not going to be possible.. they can form out of transient conditions.. but the conditions for them certainly are predictable.

However.. you cannot compare weather forecasts with climate trends.. as much you would like to.. it's apples & oranges..

Long term trends are within our grasp. It is special interest groups that attempt to hide the facts.. due to their profit-minded vision..
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